Survivorship Bias

    It really is to play dice.

    This is not something An Wugui is good at.

    But all gambling games are just psychological games.

    As long as you know everyone's style, let alone invincible, you can at least increase your winning rate.

    But this game requires not only thinking and judgment, but also acting.

    This is An Wu Jiao's biggest worry right now.

    "The rules of the game are very simple, and perhaps many of you have played this game."

    The dice on the table are copied into two piles, a pile of five dice, two wooden dice cups appear above the dice, cover the two piles of dice respectively, and then shake.

    "All players who participate in the game will get a cup of dice, a total of five dice, after everyone shakes it, each take a look at the number of the five dice that have been shaken, and then start to call the dice."

    Among them was a little girl who looked only seven or eight years old, her innocent eyes were full of confusion.

    "What is a dice?"

    The Holy Voice continues to explain.

      This means that the teller is betting that all the numbers on the dice are now three 3s in total."

    "After this person reports the number, the next person has two choices: first, follow the next person to call the dice, that is, report a larger number than him, you can increase the number of the previous person Say the number of numbers, such as calling 4 3s, or you can report larger numbers, such as 3 4s, 4 4s.

    But please remember that the next house cannot report a smaller result than the previous one, everyone in the back is the same, it can only be called bigger and bigger. It should be noted that the number 1 is omnipotent and can replace other numbers. "

    "What about the other option?" A young girl with double ponytails said beside the little girl.

    "Another option is the result of the previous bid, if you don't believe it, for example, if the previous bidder called 7 6s, and you do not believe that there are 7 6s in the audience, you can open He. That is to ask everyone to open the dice cups and publish the results. If there are really no 7 6s, then you win, and the person you opened loses. On the contrary, if you lose, the person you opened wins."

    An Wujiu didn't change his face, and listened quietly.

    This game has little to do with luck.

    For each player, the game can be disassembled into two parts: one is to process the information, and the other is to judge the result of the previous player's call.

    By the style of each player's call, their expression, emotion, speed and thinking time can reflect their play, and when the result is made public, it can also be seen that he has No lie, it's all about getting information.

    When it is your turn to call the dice, it is the process of releasing information. If you want to win, you must give other people as little information as possible, or simply set off smoke bombs.

    With enough information, a more accurate judgment can be made. Release enough confusing information to reduce the accuracy of others.

    On the sofa, the red-haired western man patted his thigh, "Understood. In fact, it is to guess how many players there are in a certain number, right? It depends on whether you believe it or not. open him."

    The Holy Voice endorsed his statement.

    "Six of us play?" Wu You asked.

    An Wujiu found that the person sitting directly opposite him never said a word, he was a tall and thin young oriental man with dark brown hair that just reached his cheeks, narrow and slender eyes, Looks very gentle.

    "No." Shengyin replied to Wu You, "The six of you will also be divided into two groups, the person who wins the fastest two times in the group will be the winner, and the winner of the two groups will be singled out. , to decide the final winner."

    As soon as they finished speaking, the low table in front of them split into two, and a pair of dice cups appeared in front of each of them.

    An Wujiu and Wu You were separated.

    He was at the table with the silent oriental man just now, and the young girl with two ponytails who asked the question earlier.

    Wu You was at a table with a little boy and a red-haired oriental man.

    "Rest assured, you can only hear the players at the table with you, don't worry about interference."

    A row of small glasses appeared on the table, filled with crystal clear light golden liquid, which looked like champagne.

    "This game is often related to drinking, but here, the loser is not drinking alcohol, but our special drink, which tastes good and even makes you flutter. Desire to be immortal. One drink at a time is very simple.”

    The red-haired man laughed, "What kind of punishment!"

    Of course it is punishment.

    Drinking half a glass of this kind of hallucinogen-like thing will probably affect the mind, and there is no way to think rationally.

    An Wujiu thought, quietly opened the dice cup in front of him, checked the five dice inside, there is no problem.

    "Let's get to know each other first."

    As before, a corresponding name projection appeared in front of everyone's eyes.

    An Wujiu raised his eyes and found that the young man sitting opposite his eyes was always locked on him, even if he was discovered, he did not move away.

    His name is Zhou Yijue.

    The black-haired woman at the same table is named Sakura Todo, who seems to be Japanese.

    An Wujiu turned his head and saw the red-haired man opposite Wu You on the other table.

    To his surprise, the nameplate in front of the other party actually said [Maguire].

    His palms were sweating.

    Isn't that the person Gabriel asked them to find?

    An Wujiu never thought that he would meet this person in the next round.

    In his mind, Gabriel's angry expression is still clear, he will exchange Maguire's life for information about his mother.

    And this person is also the player with the highest points Yang Erci has ever seen.

    "Everyone, it's time to start your game."

    After the announcement of the holy voice, Zhou Yijue at the same table said slowly, "Who comes first?"

    This is a good question.

    An Wujiu is unwilling to be the first, the first person to call the dice must release his information first, it is easy to fall into passive.

    Tengtang Ying looked at the two of them and showed a sweet smile, "I think Mr. Zhou will come first, how about it?" She turned to face Zhou Yijue, "You look like you have a chance to win. ."

    Zhou Yijue shook her head very humbly, "I'm actually not very good at this kind of games, but since such a lovely lady has spoken, then I will be the first."

    Tengtang Ying smiled brightly, her cheeks flushed slightly, seeing Zhou Yijue agree, she pointed in a direction, "Then clockwise, Mr. Zhou, then me, and finally An Sir, how is it?"

    An Wujiu also nodded in agreement.

    So the three of them held the dice cup and began to shake the dice.

    Todo Sakura looked at An Wujiu curiously, "Have you played this before?"

    An Wujiu shook his head.

    Todo Sakura's eyes are still locked on the beautiful man in front of her. His eyelashes were very long, and he always drooped. Two clumps of shadows were reflected on his lower eyelids. He looked preoccupied, and those slender, snow-white hands swayed the dice unskillfully and almost dropped a dice.

    So cute, even making mistakes.

    Very smooth, An Wujiu buckled the dice cup in his hand on the table and looked up at the two of them.

    "Ok?" Toudou Sakura smiled and reached out to him, "You can look at your dice."

    "Oh yes, I'm sorry, I'm not very familiar with the rules." An Wujiu pursed his lips, smiled a little embarrassedly, then lowered his head and lifted the dice cup to a small A slit, carefully check the numbers inside.

    It's terrible, he's lying now.

    An Wujiu didn't even know whether he knew this trick or learned it from Shen Ti.

    The dice cup is opened, and the five dice inside are: 3, 3, 5, 6, 1.

    There is a universal number.

    Tengtang Sakura noticed that An Wujiu watched for a long time, either there were few repetitions of the numbers, or she was too novice, so she wanted to memorize it a few more times.

    "All right?" she asked with a smile.

    An Wujiu raised his head, buckled the dice cup, and nodded.

    After Toudou Sakura received the signal, An Wujiu glanced at the table on the right, and saw Maguire holding the dice cup with her little finger in it.

    "I started." Zhou Yijue said, "3 3."

    He called very conservatively, starting with small numbers and making very small numbers.

    The next is Todo Sakura, she hardly hesitated, and called the die directly, "Five 3s."

    It's An Wugui's turn.

    Tengtang Sakura can directly bid 5 3s so quickly, it is unlikely that she will not have a single 3 in her cup.

    Dare to add 2 directly on the basis of Zhou Yijue, I am afraid there is more than one 3.

    Zhou Yijue faced a person who looked like a novice like himself and called out 3 3s, indicating that he also had at least one 3 in his hand. He was caught off guard.

    Counting the universal number 1, you have a total of 3 3s on your dice.

    In this case, it is better to call a big one honestly.

    An Wujiu who hesitated for a long time first said sorry softly, then he pulled the hair scattered on one side of his cheek behind his ear a little nervously, and hesitantly reported his number, " 7...7 3s."

    Seven?

    It was Zhou Yijue's turn, he stared at An Wujiu, this beautiful and delicate face, frowning slightly, even the cramped look was very beautiful.

    If you want to have seven, the most likely situation is that Todo Sakura and An Wujiu have 2 3s in one hand and 3 3s in the other.

    But An Wujiu can hesitate for so long, most likely because he doesn't have enough 3s, he wants to gamble on the two of them, if he raises, he will definitely be stopped by the next family, Toutang Ying .

    "On."

    The moment he made his decision, An Wu Jiu's dark eyes swayed slightly, then lowered his eyes.

    Everyone's dice cups open.

    Zhou Yijue frowned.

    An Wugui: 33561

    Todo Sakura: 12236

    Zhou Yijue: 23345

    "I have two." Todo Sakura tilted her body with the lid of the cup in her hand, looking at the others.

    Zhou Yijue admitted that she made a mistake. She thought that An Wujiu in front of her would be playing tricks, but unexpectedly there are actually three 3s.

    It really seems to be a rookie style that says something.

    "It's exactly seven." Tengtang Ying pursed her lips and looked at Zhou Yijue, "Mr. Zhou, you made a mistake."

    Zhou Yijue nodded, "Yes. I lost this round."

    An Wujiu pursed her dry lips, "It was my luck, I will speak faster in the next round."

    "It's okay, just come at your own pace."

    After Zhou Yijue finished speaking, she picked up a glass of punishment drink on the table and drank it with her head up.

    Not bad.

    I thought it didn't matter, but the next moment, the illusion of division appeared in front of Zhou Yijue's eyes, and everyone split into many, shaking in front of his eyes.

    Zhou Yijue shook her head and put her hand on the table.

    After a few seconds, his vision gradually returned to normal.

    And just like that, they started the second round.

    This time, An Wu Jiu did not pick up the dice cup, but pressed it on the table and quickly slid it a few times, his eyes flicked to Wu You.

    If I read correctly, Maguire is cheating.

    The situation on Wu You's side is not good.

    Everyone's dice were shaken, and the table was silent for a moment. An Wu Jiu also gently opened the dice cup and saw the numbers inside.

    1, 2, 3, 4, 4.

    The other two also confirmed their numbers.

    Zhou Yijue is 1, 2, 2, 3, 4.

    And Todo Sakura is 1, 1, 3, 4, 5.

    After reading the results, Toudou Sakura re-covered the dice cup and touched her double ponytail.

    "Is this round going to the loser?"

    Zhou Yijue nodded, "Then let's start with me."

    "Then it starts with you, then Mr. An, and finally me. Is this order okay?" Todo Sakura suggested.

    Both agreed.

    Zhou Yijue did not give an answer as quickly as in the first game, but paused for a moment.

    An Wu Jiu didn't know whether he was thinking, or the side effects of the punishment drink.

    "Three fives."

    Zhou Yijue's name is still very conservative, and directly called out the number that An Wujiu did not have, even if you count the all-powerful 1, he only has one 5.

    But 3 5's are very easy to put together, just Zhou Yijue and Tengtang Ying can easily put together.

    But Zhou Yijue thought about it for so long, either his 5 is not much, or his 1 is not much.

    "How about you, Mr. Ann?"

    An Wujiu paused, "Four and five."

    Todo Sakura nodded, still in a quick and simple style, "5 of 5."

    Back to Zhou Yijue.

    He drank the drink with hallucinogenic function, and his whole body seemed a little shaken, not as stable as before. His cheeks were flushed, and he was reclining on the sofa.

    "Six fives." Zhou Yijue half covered her mouth and said softly.

    He called very quickly, so Todo Sakura hesitated.

    "You scream so fast, you can't have a lot of 5s all of a sudden."

    She was joking on purpose, and she thought of another possibility, "Is there a lot of 1s in hand? When you called for the first time, did you think about turning 1s into how many?"

    This may not be absent.

    "It was six fives just now, right..." An Wujiu lowered his eyes and muttered something.

    After a while, he raised his eyes to look at Zhou Yijue, his eyes were full of hesitation, and he opened his dice cup and took a look.

    "Six sixes." He finally gave an answer firmly.

    Tengtang Sakura looked at him, feeling innocent and sincere in her eyes.

    Dare to replace 5 with 6, there must be 6 to do so.

    So Toudou Sakura also called after him, "Seven six."

    If An Wujiu has 1 and 6, plus the two 1s in his hand, the two of them can make 4 to 5 6s without any problem.

    Just bet on Zhou Yijue's hand.

    The side effects of the punishment drink still exist, and her head is dizzy, but Zhou Yijue tried her best to restrain herself and said to Tengtangying with half-squinted eyes, "I don't believe there are 7 6s, open."

    When the three opened the dice cup, Todo Sakura's eyes widened.

    It turned out that from the very beginning, behind the number 5, there was only a serious number 5 in the audience.

    When An Wujiu was replaced with 6, the entire desktop even had no 6.

    Some are just the universal number 1.

    "You win, I lose." Todo Sakura picked up a drink in frustration, drank it in small sips, and stuck her tongue out, "It tastes strange."

    As soon as she finished drinking, An Wujiu saw her cheeks blushing visibly, her whole person's state and eyes also changed.

     She looked sideways and met Zhou Yijue.

    “You win once, I also win once.” He still kept a smile and said to An Wujiu.

    The moment he opened the dice cup, An Wujiu knew that his disguise would be seen through by Zhou Yijue, so he also smiled and tilted his head slightly.

    "Next round, let's get started."

    --------------------

    The author has something to say:

    Shen Ti in another room:

    He held his cheeks boredly, facing the two men in front of him, and shook the dice cup perfunctorily.

    "Call it."

    Shen Ti meowed.

    Two players: ? ? ?

    "It's called dice."

    Shen Ti was annoyed: "10 6s!"