Fox in the Penalty Area

: Let me say a few words about guessing the winner

There is one thing I have to say. It was originally planned to be said after the update at 6 pm, but there are too many words, so I will write a single chapter separately.

My score predictions during the World Cup and European Championships are essentially for entertainment with readers, just for fun. It doesn't matter if you guess right and everyone shouts "Lin Da Niubi", but if you guess wrong, everyone shouts "Bright Lantern Niubi".

Even professionals can't guess the outcome, let alone me, an unprofessional football YY writer.

Even if you have thoroughly studied the lineups of the two sides, the recent state of the players, the historical confrontation record, the coach's tactical play, etc., it is still difficult to get the most important factor that determines the outcome of the game, that is-randomness.

The greatest charm of the football game lies in its elusive randomness.

To use a saying that everyone has heard badly, it is "football is round".

Take the match between Argentina and Saudi Arabia as an example. If you infer from the results after the game, you can of course conclude that Saudi Arabia has a good strategy, the head coach is excellent on the spot, and the players are doing their best. Therefore, it is concluded that Saudi Arabia won the game.

But looking at the process of the game, if Argentina scored so many offside goals in the first half, even if one of them was not offside, the goal would be valid.

Then the result of this game may be very different.

The same is true for the match between Japan and Germany. After the game, the Japanese team won, and everyone praised the head coach Kazuyo Moriyasu for being bold and daring to put the main players on the bench.

But if you lose, I'm afraid everyone will have another opinion.

The method is still the same method, but because the results are different, everyone's opinions are different.

Do you want to say that Mori Yasuichi's tactical arrangement will definitely help the Japanese team beat Germany?

That's not it either.

A slight accident in the game may change the result. Even Moriyasu himself can't guarantee that he will win according to his own tactical arrangements.

So if you are a professional, you will definitely be able to guess right?

Even the head coach may not be as sure as you...Is he not professional enough?

It was just for guessing and playing, I XJB guessed, you guys are also playing around, it's very good.

I never encourage others to buy **** with this thing.

I never buy **** myself.

Keep a good attitude, the World Cup is a festival for fans, not a carnival for betting dogs.

The football game itself is much more interesting than guessing the winner.

Also take the game between Argentina and Saudi Arabia as an example.

Although I guessed that Argentina would win against Saudi Arabia, when I saw the Saudi Arabian players trying their best to stop Argentina in the game, I couldn't help cheering for them, because their fighting spirit touched me.

And if the gamblers are betting on Argentina to win, then in their eyes, the exhausted Saudi players are simply guilty, because they have caused them to lose money. They can't feel the joy of football itself from the game, and they won't be moved by the courage and fighting spirit of the Saudi Arabian players.

In short, that's it, guessing the winner is just an entertainment activity, I never ask or support or encourage everyone to buy football.

I am not a professional bookmaker. If you decide which side to buy based on my forecast and lose money, then I can only say one thing: deserve it.

Cherish life and stay away from gambling.

※※※

PS, some people say that he is not gambling, he just thinks that I guessed wrong, and he is ashamed and embarrassed for me.

Then you are meddling, I am not ashamed or embarrassed, why are you ashamed? Is empathy that strong?

If I guess right, I'm awesome, but if I guess wrong, I'm still awesome. It's like Qin Shihuang touched the switch-the win is numb.

I don't know what I have to be ashamed and embarrassed about.

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